Our Predictions
Union are leaders in the East and boast a strong home record (3 wins in last 5). Their attacking stats are superior with 1.7 goals per game and 11 shots per match. NYCFC have weaker away form and struggle on the road. The odds at 1.95 reflect Union's edge.
Three of the last five head-to-head matches saw both teams score. Union are strong up front, but NYCFC have found goals in recent away ties. Odds of 1.75 suggest a high probability both sides will get on the scoresheet.
Union average nearly two goals per home game, and head-to-head matches often feature multiple goals. Both teams are motivated to attack, with Over 2.5 goals priced at 1.80—a fair reflection of expected open play.
Welcome to Extratips! Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction & Betting Preview
The MLS action heats up at Subaru Park as Philadelphia Union hosts New York City FC on October 4th, 2025 at 23:30. Union (currently 1st in the Eastern Conference, 14-5-4) looks to keep their strong run going. NYCFC sit 7th (10-8-4) and want to climb into playoff security. The latest odds: Home win 1.95, Draw 3.90, Away win 3.30.
Union lead in attack with 1.7 goals per match, while NYCFC average just 1.32 but have given them trouble—NYCFC edged Union 1-0 in April. The last five direct matchups: NYCFC 1-0 Union (Apr 2025), Union 2-2 NYCFC, NYCFC 1-1 Union, Union 2-0 NYCFC, NYCFC 2-3 Union. Union’s home form: 3W-1D-1L; NYCFC’s away: 1W-2D-2L. Key Union strengths: scoring (11 shots per match), solid tackling, and home crowd advantage. NYCFC counters well and can frustrate big teams, but struggle with finishing and away form.
Both teams have top players available—Union’s Andre Blake (out injured, return late September) and NYCFC have nearly full squads. Union are favorites with sharper attack and higher motivation to keep top spot. This match promises intensity, and goals are likely with both teams eager for points.